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Friday, September 8, 2006

The axis of corruption – Russia and China

After Islam, the UN and France, the Russo-Sino alliance is the greatest threat

by StFerdIII

So what are the chances that Russia will disappear? What are the chances that China will take over Siberia and gorge itself on Russian resources and land? What are the chances that Russia will arm radical Islam with weapons and nukes? What are the chances that the Kremlin will sink under the weight of its own corruption and criminality? What is the chance that the Russian population will shrink to 80 millions within 50 years necessitating a retraction of the Russian empire to European Russia and the sale of its Asian territory to the highest [Chinese or Arab] bidder? In face of its declining power and demographic weakness the Kremlin will reject the West and embrace China to guarantee its survival. All of the above then seem to be a likely bet.

There are plenty of facts to support the Russo-Sino axis theory and the hypothesis of Russian decline. Russian state policy has guaranteed the Chinese access to oil; gas; timber; wheat and other commodities. These contracts are worth tens of billions – no westerners need apply. Chinese money is preferred over Western in the development of oil and gas deposits not to mention infrastructure building. China has just leased for 50 years 1 million hectares of forest land full of minerals in Siberia from Russia, and will populate this huge area with Chinese immigrants. Thus the Russians, like the Romans in 376 AD who allowed in un-subdued Goths into the empire [and then saw their Eastern Emperor Valens and his army annihilated 2 years later], will now have a virulent 5th column of Chinese investors and landowners covering a huge swath of Russian territory. It is doubtful that 50 years hence the Chinese will willingly leave this large territory that they developed. They will simply annex it. Russia is now on the same path as 4th century Rome.

The Russian state has made the conscious decision to divest itself of its Asian empire. Since 1991 the path has been clear – retrench from the Far East by selling the assets to the Chinese and form an alliance with the next superpower. Anything is better in Russian eyes, than countenancing US uni-polarity. Economically, the Russian Far East is becoming fast separated from European Russia. This economic split will presage a de-facto political split. For more than 50 years the Russian Far East has supplied European Russia with oil, gas, timber, fish, steel, aircraft ships. Now the patterns of trade are shifting. Today, Chinese cheaper consumer goods and food are filling Russian stores, while timber and raw materials are going south to China. Entire factories are being dismantled and sold as scrap metal to China. Seafood is almost exclusively sold to South Korea and Japan and not to European Russia.

The demographics are changing. One would not realize it while traveling in Siberia but hundreds of thousands of Chinese call Russia home. They are mostly ghettoized staying in their selected areas and keeping a low profile. Russia's Far Eastern area which is a huge area covering 6.3 million square kilometers has only 7 million inhabitants down from 9 million in 1991. The population is declining rapidly as factories are shut down and military installations downsized. Into this vacuum the Chinese are immigrating and procreating. Across the Sino-Russian border, China's three northeastern provinces contain 100 million people with high unemployment rates. It does not take a farsighted seer to determine what will happen – in the rush to develop the undeveloped Russian East the Chinese will move in, as the native Russian population continues to collapse. This trend has been in existence for 15 years and will only accrete in strength.

The other obvious impetus to Sino-Russo integration in the Far East is oil and energy. The Chinese are scouring the world for energy supplies even doing deals with far-off Venezuela, investing throughout Africa and propping up the Iranian regime through oil purchases. Just across its border lie vast tracts of oil reserves – many say the most extensive in the world – undeveloped. In Russia land ownership rights do not exist and private property protection outside of real estate and state-condoned agri-businesses a quaint Western fantasy. In order to attract Chinese capital [anything other than Western money], the Russian state will need to do some deals and provide guarantees on rights, profits and prices to the Chinese. This presages a closer working relationship between the two states.

Energy cooperation also means more money and Chinese workers and immigrants flooding into the Far East. This demographic and capital shift will be dangerous for Russia. In the history of man a one party fascist state, such as Communist China, has never been known for its reasonableness in foreign affairs. By selling its assets to the Chinese and forging closer economic and political ties the Russians are in effect forming an anti-Western alliance, designed to counter US hegemony. It is a dangerous and risky game. If Russian demographics continue to shrink, the Chinese will become the masters of Siberia.

After Islam, and the useless United Nations, China stuffing itself on Russian minerals and raw materials and increasing its power, will be the gravest threat to our civilization. Fascisms never collapse unless confronted. Russia, a soft fascist-tsarist power is short-sighted in its pursuit of Chinese over-lordship. It remains to be seen how the West will react but given its track record against fascist Islam one should not be too hopeful that the West will respond intelligently or in a unified manner. Russia and China are forming another corrupt axis of anti-Westernism. One has to wonder if anyone in the West cares.