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Letters by a modern St. Ferdinand III about cults

Gab@StFerdinandIII - Plenty of cults exist - every cult has its 'religious dogma', its idols, its 'prophets', its 'science', its 'proof' and its intolerant liturgy of demands.  Cults everywhere:  Islam, the State, the cult of Gay and Queer, Marxism, Darwin and Evolution, 'Science', Globaloneywarming, Changing Climate, Abortion....a nice variety for the human-hater, amoral, anti-rationalist to choose from.  It is so much fun mocking them isn't it ?

Tempus Fugit Memento Mori - Time Flies Remember Death 

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Monday, October 31, 2005

Russia – a dying country with a messy future

Without massive reforms the Bear will soon look like a pussy cat

by StFerdIII

What is one to make of a country with the following list of issues: a declining population; Islamic attacks; one party dictatorship; state owned energy sector; weak foreign investment; widespread corruption and fraud; little capital formation; state owned media; nuclear weapons; close links with drug cartels and Islamic regimes and wounded national pride. Add to this mixture a nation that is 71rst worldwide on GDP per capita, where monthly salaries are U$500 per month on average, and where the average Moscovite, living in the third most expensive city in the world, earns a whopping $1000/month. No wonder Russians drink so much.

Or maybe that is why the Russian death rate is so high. As the BBC and others have reported the Russian death rate is soaring - with Russian men living to an average of just 59 years -14 years less than a typical Western European man. In Russia's second city, Saint Petersburg, the mortuary is the best business to be in with thriving growth rates. Yet when u analyze the dead, you quickly find out that most are there not due to disease or illness, but due to violence. In fact violent deaths account for roughly half the dead in the average Russian mortuary and the rest are mainly men who died from early heart attacks or met with accidents. Not only is the birth rate low, the death rate is unnaturally high thanks to a violent society. Murders are committed even to get a hold of the latest cool mobile phone. No wonder Russian women are leaving the Bear-Land en masse.

Writing in the U.K. Spectator, Mark Steyn gives Russia a grim prognosis:

  Russia is literally dying. From a population peak in 1992 of 148 million, it will be down to below 130 million by 2015 and thereafter dropping to perhaps 50 or 60 million by the end of the century, a third of what it was at the fall of the Soviet Union. It needn't decline at a consistent rate, of course. But I'd say it's more likely to be even lower than 50 million than it is to be over 100 million. The longer Russia goes without arresting the death spiral, the harder it is to pull out of it, and when it comes to the future most Russian women are voting with their foetus: 70 per cent of pregnancies are aborted.

At a time when Russian men already have a life expectancy in the mid-50s -- lower than in Bangladesh -- they're about to see AIDS cut them down from the other end, killing young men and women of childbearing age, and with them any hope of societal regeneration. By 2010, AIDS will be killing between a quarter and three-quarters of a million Russians every year. It will become a nation of babushkas, unable to muster enough young soldiers to secure its borders, enough young businessmen to secure its economy or enough young families to secure its future. True, there are regions that are exceptions to these malign trends, parts of Russia that have healthy fertility rates and low HIV infection. Can you guess which regions they are? They start with a 'Mu-' and end with a '-slim'.

So the world's largest country is dying and the only question is how violent its death throes are. Yesterday's Russia was characterised by Churchill as a riddle wrapped in a mystery inside an enigma. Today's has come unwrapped: it's a crisis in a disaster inside a catastrophe



Russia will drink, abort and murder herself into national decline and eventually destruction. So what will happen to its nukes, its borders, its energy, its military, and its partnership in the war on terror? If Russia disintegrates and unravels and the mystery becomes not mysterious but dangerous what will the West do? Will we let the Chinese walk in and gorge themselves on Russia’s Far Eastern oil and energy supplies? Will we allow the Russian’s to fail in their fight against fascist Jihadists in the Caucasus which will embolden Islam elswhere? Will we simply stand agape while the Russian mob sells off nukes and know-how to the highest Islamic bidder?

Russia is a huge problem. What should one do with Putin and his government who seem hell bent on controlling energy, the media, and who foment anti-American dogma at every turn, yet desperately need Western money, technology and expertise on everything ranging from establishing a real capital market, to oil extraction and delivery, to military hardware for the zitty 18 yr old Russian kids in bad clothes fighting against Islamic fascists? Do we play nice with dear Vlad and aid him to the utmost while not worrying about the one party, neo-Kremlin state that has been established? Or do we tie investment, aid, capital and technology formation to democratic reforms, which would be rejected by Tsar Vlad, thereby allowing most probably the French and Chinese to satisfy their drooling desire for investments and political leverage?

Having Russia unravel and fall into the arms of an arrogant Chinese leadership, with their one party fascist state, and desire for East Asian dominance is not a desirable outcome. China assumes that it will dominate East Asia. I am not so sure. The US – Japanese – South Korean alliance is solid and with Japan finally getting off of the economic mat, we will witness economic and political power realignment – towards the good guys. We must find a way to help Russia – while helping ourselves and freeing the Russian people from the agony of their non-democratic one party nightmare. It will be a most delicate and complicated policy – but one that is necessary and which serves our own best interests.


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